Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Any trading decisions are solely the responsibility of the trader, who should independently assess risks and objectives.

USDJPY AI-driven Trading Plan 04/09/2025

Support Levels:

• S1: 144.80
• S2: 144.20
• S3: 143.55

Resistance Levels:

• R1: 146.40
• R2: 147.15
• R3: 148.10

Order Blocks and Key Zones:

• Bullish Order Block: 144.00–144.60 (prior reversal zone with high absorption)
• Bearish Order Block: 146.80–147.20 (distribution area, institutional sell-side activity)
• High Liquidity Zones: 145.30–145.60 and 146.80–147.00

Market Sentiment and Analysis:

Investor Sentiment: Strongly favoring JPY as risk-off mode deepens due to U.S.-China tariff escalation.
Market News: Yen continues to benefit from its safe-haven status; trade tensions pressuring dollar outlook.
Technical Analysis: USD/JPY is breaking down from a recent double top near 148.00; downside momentum accelerating below 145.50.
Market Performance: Increased volatility with expanded daily ranges; recent reversal signals downside pressure.
Smart Money Activity: Large sell-side blocks noted near 147.00–147.20; accumulation expected near 144.20 if price retraces.

Probable Price Levels:

• Expected Opening Price: 146.26
• Expected High: 146.39
• Expected Low: 144.58

Bias and Trend:

• Short-Term Bias: Bearish
• Medium-Term Bias: Bearish consolidation
• Long-Term Bias: Risk-off scenario favors further JPY strength

Trading Strategies:

Range Entries:

Long: 144.80, Target: 145.80, Stop Loss: 144.20
Short: 146.40, Target: 145.20, Stop Loss: 146.90

Trend Entries:

Long: Entry above 146.90 (only on confirmed reversal), Target: 148.00, Stop Loss: 146.25
Short: Entry below 144.60, Target: 143.55, Stop Loss: 145.15

Breakout Entries:

• Long Breakout: Entry above 147.15, Target: 148.20, Stop Loss: 146.40
• Short Breakout: Entry below 144.20, Target: 143.30, Stop Loss: 144.80

Risk Management:

• Monitor Volatility: Intraday risk is high; reduce leverage where needed.
• Economic Indicators: Watch for any shift in Fed policy or Japanese economic announcements.
• Market Liquidity: U.S. session likely to see volatility spikes.
• Global Sentiment: Monitor trade developments and geopolitical risk closely.
• Dynamic Stop Losses: Apply volatility-based trailing stops.
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain optimal ratios and reassess at each support/resistance zone.

Disclaimer

This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Forex trading carries inherent risks and should be approached with appropriate risk management strategies.

USDJPY AI-driven Trading Plan 04/09/2025 | TradePhantom